Growth by Design: Expanding Early Learning and Child Care in Canada – Project Summary Report
Read the PDF here (ISBN 978-1-997048-22-0)
Executive Summary
Growth by Design was a three-year research project (2023–2026) focused on understanding the barriers and opportunities to expanding not-for-profit and public child care in Canada. Led by Child Care Now and funded through Employment and Social Development Canada’s Early Learning and Child Care Innovation Program, the project was undertaken at a pivotal moment in the build out of the Canada-wide Early Learning and Child Care (CWELCC) system. The project aimed to generate knowledge about child care expansion under CWELCC and identify the policy tools needed to build a universal, high-quality and accessible child care system.
Project achievements
Growth by Design generated knowledge about child care expansion through multiple complementary streams of research and policy analysis. Over the three years of the project, the Growth by Design team:
- Tracked pan-Canadian child care growth trends in two reports, the first examining trends from 2008-2021 (pre-CWELCC) and the second from 2022-2025 (post-CWELCC). The most recent report shows that Canada added more than 168,000 licensed spaces for children aged 0-5 years between 2022 and 2025, and that roughly two-thirds of these new spaces were created by for-profit operators.
- Conducted detailed investigations of child care expansion in seven jurisdictions (Nunavut, Newfoundland and Labrador, Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, Ontario, Manitoba, and British Columbia) through document reviews, key informant interviews, focus groups with frontline staff, and site visits. This research revealed important insights about the factors that influence not-for-profit and public expansion including growth planning, funding models, not-for-profit sector capacity, and workforce challenges.
- Highlighted promising practices and initiatives in child care expansion in the provinces and territories visited as part of the case studies, including Manitoba’s Ready-to-Move modular construction initiative, Newfoundland and Labrador’s regulated family child care model, and a municipally run Early Years Centre in PEI.
- Produced in-depth analyses on key issues relevant to child care expansion, including: a review of the capital funding programs in every province and territory; an analysis of the role of physical environments in child care quality; a scan of international approaches to ensuring universal child care access; and a deep dive into the current state of publicly delivered child care in Canada. The project team also commissioned external experts to develop research papers on the intersections between child care and the community housing sector.
Together, these outputs offer the most detailed picture to date of how child care expansion is happening across Canada and of the most promising levers for supporting not-for-profit and public growth.
Recommendations for supporting not-for-profit and public growth
The project’s findings demonstrate that while CWELCC has driven meaningful growth in child care spaces, expansion is largely happening in an ad-hoc way. Without more intentional planning and targeted investment, the high-quality, universal, and accessible system envisioned under CWELCC will not be realized.
The Growth by Design project team and Advisory Committee built on these findings to develop targeted recommendations for action, anchored in three core principles: public accountability for expansion planning to ensure equitable access; prioritization of not-for-profit and public operators as the sector grows; and sufficient, sustainable funding that reflects the true costs of delivering quality care.
Building on these principles, the recommendations call on:
- The federal government to ensure accountability and align federal investments in CWELCC with these core principles
- Provincial and territorial governments to take an intentional approach to growth by mandating and resourcing local public authority (school authorities and local government) to develop child care expansion plans grounded in community needs and demand, and to establish a publicly accountable process for building of not-for-profit community child care facilities that are publicly owned, publicly funded, and aligned with best practice design guidelines.
- Both levels of government to work together on a robust data strategy to measure and equitable access to child care, and to put in place democratic engagement mechanisms to ensure the voices of the ELCC sector, families, and communities are incorporated in expansion planning.
Reflections and what’s next
Growth by Design has helped to fill important gaps in data, research, and public reporting on expansion. At the same time, the project has made clear that more work is needed beyond what a single three-year initiative can accomplish. Key priorities going forward include:
- Continued research and analysis into how jurisdictions are approaching expansion amid fiscal pressures and a shifting policy landscape
- Continued research and analysis to flesh out the project recommendations and build evidence to guide implementation
- Ongoing mobilization of the project’s findings and recommendations with governments, the ELCC sector, and the broader public through webinars, targeted briefings, and sustained sector engagement
The experience of Growth by Design underscores that realizing CWELCC’s promise will require continued investment to understand how expansion is happening and to identify the steps needed to ensure that this expansion prioritizes accountability, quality and accessibility.
1. Introduction
This report summarizes the findings and learnings from Growth by Design, a three year research project (2023-2026) on child care expansion in the not-for-profit and public sectors. The project was led by Child Care Now and funded through Employment and Social Development Canada’s Early Learning and Child Care Innovation Program.
Through policy analysis and engagement with the Early Learning and Child Care (ELCC) sector, Growth by Design investigated the barriers and opportunities to increasing the supply of not-for-profit and public child care in Canada. This report:
- Summarizes findings from the project’s multiple streams of research and policy analysis on ELCC expansion
- Provides recommendations for decision-makers, based on the project findings, for supporting growth in the not-profit and public child care sectors
- Summarizes what was learned through the project about the future research, policy analysis, knowledge mobilization and advocacy needed to support the expansion of high-quality ELCC in the not-for-profit and public sectors
Background and context
In 2021 the federal government committed to building a Canada-wide system of ELCC in partnership with the provinces, territories and Indigenous governments. The 2021 federal budget specified that the government would work with provinces and territories to “support primarily not-for-profit sector child care providers to grow quality spaces across the country.”1
Achieving the goals of CWELCC requires an intentional approach to the expansion of child care services guided by the principles of quality, affordability, accessibility and inclusivity. Growth by Design sought to address gaps in knowledge about how expansion is currently happening across Canada, the challenges and barriers to not-for-profit and public expansion, and the opportunities and promising practices to support expansion going forward. The project had four key goals:
- Identify the barriers and facilitators that impact the capacity of public and not-for-profit providers to expand licensed ELCC
- Engage the not-for-profit ELCC community, ELCC allies and public stakeholders in innovative thinking and capacity building to expand access to affordable, accessible and high quality ELCC
- Identify, describe and assess innovative practices and public policies that support the expansion of not-for-profit and public ELCC
- Increase awareness and enable knowledge transfer about the effective mechanisms and innovative practices to support the expansion of quality, affordable, accessible not-for-profit and public ELCC
The work of Growth by Design was overseen by a core project team and supported by an Advisory Committee of experts in the ELCC sector.
About this report
The report development was informed by:
- A detailed review of the Growth by Design project outputs and publications
- Observations and notes from a 1.5-day session with the project team and Advisory Committee in March 2026
- Follow-up conversations with project team members
2. Project outputs and findings
The Growth by Design project included multiple streams of work to explore the enablers and barriers to expansion of not-for-profit and public ELCC expansion.
Stream 1: Tracking growth – The project team produced two comprehensive reports summarizing data on child care expansion over time in Canada (the first from 2008-2021, the second from 2022-2025). The reports provide a detailed examination of growth trends across jurisdictions, age groups and auspice.
Stream 2: Provincial and territorial research – The project team conducted in-depth investigations of child care expansion in seven Canadian jurisdictions (Nunavut, Newfoundland, Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, Ontario, Manitoba, and British Columbia). Through this work, the project team identified some important cross-cutting themes about the barriers and opportunities to expansion of not-for-profit and public delivery, as well as some innovative practices and approaches.
Stream 3: Spotlighting key issues – The project team also conducted in-depth research and policy analysis on specific issues that are key to understanding child care expansion including:
- Capital costs – Detailed tracking of how each province and territory is funding the capital cost of expanding regulated child care
- Physical environment – Overview of the importance of physical infrastructure in high-quality child care delivery
- International targets – Scan of policy mechanisms and targets used in other countries to enable the delivery of high-quality universal child care
- Public delivery – Overview of the current state, barriers and opportunities for publicly delivered child care in Canada
- Intersections with housing – Externally commissioned research papers on the intersections between child care and the community housing sector to identify lessons learned and opportunities for child care expansion
Together, these outputs paint a comprehensive picture of what is happening in child care expansion across Canada, and the opportunities to support growth in the not-for-profit and public sectors. The remainder of this section provides more details on the outputs and findings from each stream of work.
Summary: Growth by Design project findings
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Stream 1: Tracking growth
Growth by Design produced two reports examining growth in child care spaces: one looking at trends in growth prior to the implementation of the CWELCC agreements (2008-2021), and one looking at growth after the implementation (2022-2025).2
The first report (Pan-Canadian growth of Early Learning and Child Care since 2008) found that:
- The total number of centre-based spaces for 0-12 year olds almost doubled between 2008 and 2021, from 728,775 to 1,381,216
- In the same period, regulated family child care spaces decreased by 24%
- Before and after school spaces increased at a faster rate than spaces for 0-5 year olds (122% increase in before and after-school care, versus 62% increase for 0-5 year olds)
- For-profit child care expanded at a faster rate than not-for-profit childcare (119% increase in for-profit versus 81% increase in not-for-profit)
- There was a decrease in part-day spaces for children 0-5 years in most provinces and territories between 2008 and 2021.
- The proportion of children aged 0 to 5 for whom there is a full- or part-day licensed centre-based space increased (from 20% to 28%)
The second report (Growth Report: Tracking expansion of licensed child care in the first phase of Canada-Wide Early Learning and Child Care) found that:
- Canada added more than 168,000 licensed spaces between 2022 and 2025, including more than 111,000 spaces for children aged 0 to 5 years.
- Roughly two-thirds of all new licensed spaces created between 2022 and 2025 serve children under six. However, there is substantial variation across provinces
- Although the public, not-for-profit and for-profit sectors have all expanded, approximately two-thirds of all new spaces for children aged 0-5 years were created by for-profit operators
- Participation in CWELCC is nearly universal among not-for-profit providers, very high among public providers and lower among for-profit providers
- Between 2022 and 2025, more than 2,200 additional licensed facilities opened across Canada. Most of this growth occurred among for-profit operators
- More than one-third of licensed schools for children aged 0-12 are located in public schools, and approximately 600 additional school-based facilities opened between 2022 and 2025
- Regulated family child care grew by more than 34,000 spaces nationwide
The two growth reports draw on different data sources: the first growth report drew on data presented in the Childcare Resource and Research Unit’s (CRRU) Early Childhood Education and Care in Canada series, complemented by a review of secondary sources including media releases and related policy documents and reports. The second report drew on a new proprietary database, Child Care Licensing and Accessibility by Region (CLAR), developed by the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives.
Stream 2: Provincial and territorial research
The Growth by Design project team conducted in-depth investigations of child care growth in seven Canadian jurisdictions, drawing on:
- A thorough review of government websites and documents, policy frameworks, and public reports related to ELCC
- Compilation and analysis of relevant data from successive editions of Early Childhood Education and Care in Canada
- Key informant interviews and meetings with provincial government officials, provincial child care associations, ELCC administrators and other interest holders
- Focus groups with child care operators and frontline staff to gather perspectives on workforce, funding, service delivery challenges and expansion plans
- Site visits to a range of early learning and child care programs, providing insights into local implementation, infrastructure, and experiences with expansion
Based on this work, the project team published case study reports with a comprehensive overview of the current state of child care expansion in five jurisdictions:
- PEI case study report
- Nunavut case study report
- Ontario case study report
- Nova Scotia case study report
- British Columbia case study report
The team also published in-depth spotlight reports diving deeply into innovative practices used to support growth in Manitoba, Newfoundland & Labrador, and Prince Edward Island:
- Spotlight: Manitoba’s Ready-to-Move initiative – The Ready to Move (RTM) initiative is a collaboration between the governments of Canada and Manitoba, First Nations governments, local municipalities, and JQ Built – a not-for-profit Municipal Participation Corporation focused on infrastructure delivery, and not-for-profit child care operators to delivering centres that are of modular, hybrid construction, with standardized designs. RTMs are intended to increase child care supply in a short period of time, and to support expansion in small, rural and remote communities.
- Spotlight: Regulated family child care in Newfoundland & Labrador – Regulated family child care operates under a unique structure in Newfoundland and Labrador, where a single family child care agency manages all providers across the province. Under this structure, providers are well-compensated, have access to medical benefits and are compensated for holidays, vacations and professional development days. This structure positions family child care to play an important role in the province’s ELCC growth particularly in rural and remote areas.
- Spotlight: Kinkora’s municipally run child care in Prince Edward Island – In 2021, the rural municipality of Kinkora became the first municipality in PEI to operate an Early Years Centre. The centre has been highly successful in meeting community needs and even attracting new families to the area, demonstrating that municipal leadership can deliver high-quality and sustainable child care.
The project team identified seven cross-cutting themes from this provincial and territorial research about the enablers and barriers to child care expansion in the not-for-profit and public sectors (see below).
Cross-cutting themes from provincial and territorial expansion efforts1. Planning: In most jurisdictions, child care expansion has been reactive rather than planned. Governments have set targets and opened funding streams, but in practice nobody is actively steering where growth goes at a systems level, or tracking whether it provides equitable access to care. Pockets of more intentional planning do exist, led by bodies such as local governments and school authorities, that could potentially be scaled to address child care needs. There is also a persistent tension between universality and targeting in child care growth. CWELCC was designed to make child care a public good accessible to all families, yet most provincial and territorial agreements also direct new resources toward vulnerable or underserved populations. As fiscal constraints tighten, this tension will intensify. |
Stream 3: Spotlighting key issues
The project team also conducted in-depth research and policy analysis on specific issues that are key to understanding child care expansion in Canada.
Capital costs
The project team tracked the funding programs available in each jurisdiction to support the capital costs associated with child care expansion:
- Initial report analyzing capital funding opportunities (April 2024)
- Updated report reflecting changes in capital funding programs (August 2025)
Physical environment
The Spotlight: Why physical environment matters in child care report was prepared by the project team as a resource for policymakers, providers and other interest holders highlighting why physical space matters for quality, identifying key design considerations, and providing recommendations for expansion that prioritize high-quality physical environments. The report recommendations focus on updating and aligning provincial regulations to align with best practice design guidelines, providing funding that incentivizes the development of high-quality child care infrastructure, and enhancing collaboration in design planning.
International targets
The Spotlight on targets and policy tools needed to achieve universal access report highlights some of the key targets and mechanisms other countries (Sweden, Norway, Portugal and Germany) are using to advance the goals of universal child care. It highlights legislative entitlements, sustained investment, and local accountability as important strategies for child care expansion.
Public delivery
The Spotlight on public delivery report provides a deep dive overview of publicly delivered child care, including the benefits and barriers to more direct public delivery of child care. The report highlights three strategies for enabling more public delivery: removing legislative barriers, strengthening government and public understanding of the benefits of public delivery, and harmonizing wages and benefits across all types of operators.
Intersections with community housing
The Child Care Now commissioned two reports on the intersections of child care and community housing. The first paper, by Craig Jones of the Housing Assessment Resource Tools (HART) project at the University of British Columbia, examines the legal frameworks, financial mechanisms, and organizational infrastructure that shape how community housing grows, to identify relevant lessons for the child care sector. The second paper, by Carolyn Whitzman of the School of Cities at the University of Toronto, examines the merits and opportunities of co-locating not-for-profit child care with non-market community housing. This research highlighted some targeted policy recommendations for child care expansion, including prioritizing government land for both community housing and not-for-profit child care, integrating social infrastructure including schools, libraries, health care and child care centres, and providing long-term infrastructure funding for new facilities.
3. Recommendations
In March 2026, the Growth by Design project team and Advisory Committee met to review the project outputs and collectively identify recommendations based on the findings. Together, these recommendations offer a roadmap to supporting the growth of not-for-profit and public child care in Canada. The recommendations are anchored in a set of core principles:
- Public accountability for expansion planning to ensure that growth is resulting in equitable access for families
- Supporting the expansion of not-for-profit and public operators, not to replace existing for-profit delivery, but to ensure not-for-profit and public child care is prioritized as the child care sector grows
- Sufficient and sustainable funding, including both capital and operational funding, that supports quality and aligns with the true costs of expansion
Building on these principles, the project team and Advisory Committee identified some specific steps governments can take to support not-for-profit and public expansion:
Federal government:
- Establish and enforce accountability for the core principles, and ensure continued investments in the CWELCC program to align with these principles
Provincial & territorial governments:
- Take an intentional approach to growth by mandating, resourcing and supporting local public entities (e.g. municipalities) to develop child care expansion plans, relying on community needs assessments and demand forecasting to determine where new not-for-profit and public child care spaces should be located, how many, and what kinds. These local planning decisions can be rolled up to an overall provincial/territorial growth plan that is informed by well-defined principles and priorities for growth.
- Establish new publicly accountable agencies to oversee and manage the process of building new not-for-profit community child care facilities. These agencies should partner with developers and other partners to establish new facilities based on the needs identified in local plans. New facilities should be publicly owned, with capital costs 100% publicly funded, and align with best practice design guidelines. Promising pathways to the efficient development of new facilities (i.e. using school land, modular construction) should be prioritized where appropriate.
The federal and provincial governments should also work together to ensure a robust data strategy to track growth and ensure equitable access to child care, and to put in place democratic engagement mechanisms to ensure the voices of the ELCC sector, families and communities are reflected in expansion planning.

4. Areas for further research and investigation
While the Growth by Design project has made significant contributions to collective knowledge and insights about expanding not-for-profit and public child care, the scope and complexity of the topic means there is still more work to be done. The project team and Advisory Committee also identified some important areas where further research and investigation could help inform expansion planning.
Understanding the current state
The Growth by Design project has highlighted that policies around child care expansion are rapidly evolving, vary widely across provinces and territories, and are sometimes interpreted and implemented differently at the local and organizational level. The project team and Advisory Committee identified some specific areas where more investigation into the current state could help inform expansion planning, including:
- Assessing how each province and territory is navigating the tension between universality and targeting in allocating CWELCC funding, and how these decisions are impacting child care operators and families
- Continuing to explore, document and share the more intentional approaches to expansion planning that some local public entities have adopted, including the principles and mechanisms they are using to ensure quality and accountability in delivery
- Reviewing existing data sources to see what insights can be drawn about access to child care and identifying the key data gaps
Continuing to build a roadmap to expansion
The project team and Advisory Committee also identified some additional areas of research and analysis needed to flesh out the recommendations outlined in Section 3, generate additional evidence to support their implementation, and continue to build a clear roadmap to the expansion of not-for-profit and public child care.
- How should operational funding models be structured to ensure quality delivery (beyond just funding to minimum regulations and standards)? Relatedly, what are the core components of a high-quality publicly funded child care program (for example, should preparation of meals be included)?
- What parameters and guidelines should guide local planning processes? Are there case studies or models from other sectors that provide lessons?
- What models could be used to build the capacity of not-for-profit and public operators to grow (for example, shared infrastructure for single-site operators)?
- What are the relative costs and benefits of different capital financing mechanisms for the development of new community child care facilities (i.e. loans versus grants)?
- What are the components of an effective data strategy for tracking equitable access to child care across Canada?
Assessing regulatory frameworks
There has been little attention paid to the impact of regulatory frameworks on child care growth. More research and analysis are needed to explore:
- What adjustments are needed to provincial and territorial child care regulations to ensure quality is maintained and increased as the child care sector expands
- How other provincial and local regulatory frameworks (such as building codes, zoning restrictions, and public health requirements) can be better aligned to support and enable quality child care expansion
Intersections with other policy areas
The work of the Growth by Design project team highlighted that questions about how to expand not-for-profit and public child care intersect with and are influenced by other policy domains. Some of the questions for further investigation identified include:
- What role could the expansion of full-day kindergarten for all 4- and 5-year olds play in supporting expansion planning?
- How does parental leave impact demand for child care?
- How do changes in housing policy and housing affordability influence needs and opportunities for child care expansion?
- What changes are needed in the post-secondary system to build a stronger pipeline of graduates with the expertise needed to steer child care expansion in the future?
5. Mobilizing findings
The Growth by Design project has generated important findings and insights that are relevant to a range of interest holders including governments, ELCC associations, child care operators, families and the broader public. The project team and Advisory Committee identified some key messages stemming from the project findings to guide knowledge dissemination and mobilization, as well as some targeted strategies for sharing the findings and learnings from the project.
Key messages
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Strategies for sharing key messages
The Growth by Design project team and Advisory Committee identified some important strategies for mobilizing the project findings and learnings with interest holders including:
- Engaging the ELCC sector to share key findings from the growth report, case studies and examples of successful expansion
- Mobilizing project recommendations with government decision-makers and other interested audiences through webinars and targeted briefings
- Building interest in project findings within the broader public policy community, highlighting the connections between child care expansion and other social and economic priorities
6. Conclusion: Reflections and learnings
The Growth by Design project has made a significant contribution to knowledge and understanding about child care expansion at a critical time in ELCC system-building, and helped to fill in gaps in data collection, research, evaluation, reporting and accountability.
At the same time, the project has highlighted how much more work there is to be done, and that this work goes beyond the scope of what can be completed in a three-year project. Growth by Design has demonstrated the complexity of expansion, and the need for more public investment to:
- Track and analyze how jurisdictions are approaching expansion, especially given fiscal pressures and the constantly changing landscape of ELCC policy
- Clarify the steps that need to be taken to prioritize growth in the not-for-profit and public sectors and ensure quality and accessibility
In reflecting on the project’s achievements and lessons learned, the project team and Advisory Committee identified some other important takeaways:
- It is important to track both what is happening at a policy level to support child care expansion, and what is happening on the ground in communities – and understand the gaps that sometimes exist between the two
- Expansion planning needs to be responsive to the unique challenges of different regions and organizations
- Engagement with Indigenous governing bodies and organizations is important to ensuring that child care growth plans address reconciliation in a meaningful way
- Inequities in access and quality in child care threaten progress towards the universal system of child care envisioned under CWELCC; the only way these inequities will be addressed is through better policy and government support.
Acknowledgements
This report was commissioned and authored by Kelly Pasolli.


The ideas, views and opinions in this publication belong to the authors. They may not reflect those of the Government of Canada.
- Department of Finance Canada (2021) Budget 2021: A Canada-Wide Early Learning and Child Care Plan ↩︎
- It’s important to note that the two growth reports draw on different data sources: the first growth report draws on data from the Childcare Resource and Research Unit’s (CRRU) Early Childhood Education and Care in Canada series, complemented by a review of secondary sources including media releases and related policy documents and reports. The second report uses a new proprietary database, Child Care Licensing and Accessibility by Region (CLAR), developed by the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives. The differences between the two datasets limit the extent to which findings between the two reports can be directly compared, and highlight the need for more public investment to support accurate, consistent, and timely data collection about child care across Canada. ↩︎
ISBN 978-1-997048-23-7 (web)

